NRL Round 20 Update

             The National Rugby League is heading into the business end of the season (for a review of the NRL and an update through Round 16 see here).

Remember me?

The League has now played 19 rounds with 7 remaining. All the teams have had their two bye weeks, the annual State of Origin series is over (the universe was kept in balance as Queensland won the last two games after losing the opener, taking their third series in a row and 11 of the last 12 series overall).

From the moment we step on the field of play we can identify our starting point, pathway and destination.

The end of the State of Origin also means club teams welcome back those players who were playing in Origin. Going into Round 20, although none of the 16 teams have been mathematically eliminated, some of them will have to face up to reality. At the bottom of the table, Newcastle, Wests Tigers, and South Sydney are basically done with Canberra, New Zealand, Gold Coast, and Canterbury needing to win most of their remaining games and hope for teams above them to lose. However, the latter four do have the ability to put together a run.

How could a team this fierce be “done”?!?!?!

Two points (one game) outside the top 8 teams which will contest the finals (playoffs), are Penrith with St. George-Illawarra and Parramatta the teams most likely to miss out if the Panthers go on a tear. It is likely the current top 6 teams—Melbourne, Sydney, Brisbane, Manly, Cronulla, and North Queensland will all make the playoffs. It is less clear which will finish in the top 4 – which guarantees a second chance should a team lose early in the finals series.

More than half the Round 20 games have ramifications for teams fighting for playoff places but two of the most important will be Penrith vs. Gold Coast with the Panthers desperately needing a win to stay close to the playoffs while a loss for Gold Coast will basically end their season. Likewise, Canterbury face a tough must win game on the road at the Brisbane Broncos, made tougher as the Broncos need the win to stay in the top 4. The other key matchup is 10th placed Canberra, who also have to win, hosting top of the table Melbourne.

Although no one will be guaranteed a playoff spot after Round 20, it’s likely a few teams will be mathematically eliminated.

 

By BP

AFL  Roundup 7/16-7/17

This weekend in Ozzie Rules the big match featured the top-of-the-ladder Adelaide Crows versus the 7th ranked Melbourne Demons. Adelaide didn’t disappoint (their fans), winning handily – 17 goals, 14 behinds for 116 points versus 10.10.70 for the Demons. Fuck you, Adelaide.

Too little, too late…

2nd place Geelong won against Hawthorn, and although the result is no surprise, the fact that they squeaked out only a 3 point (13.10.88 v. 12.13.85) win against a team that’s been mediocre for almost the entire season was.

3rd place GWS Giants managed to snap their 2 game draw streak. (Draws are usually a rarity in AFL). They did so by losing. A resurgent Sydney Swans (6th place) continued its rise, defeating the Giants for the Swans’ 6th straight win, showing that the bookies predictions for their current year top performance were not the result of hallucinogens. Sydney’s terrible performance starting the year remains unexplained.

4th place Port Adelaide stomped on the N Melbourne Roos, as did 5th place Richmond on the hapless Brisbane Lions.

The West Coast Eagles took St. Kilda’s place as the last (8th) team in the playoff form, crushing Freemantle, while Essendon dealt with the Saints.

For Glib interest, the Western Bulldogs won against the Carlton Blues, although that didn’t move WB up the ladder (or the Blues down), and Collingwood beat Gold Coast, resulting in them swapping 14th and 15th places.

We won!